Market forecasters have a terrible record of predicting the future. Investors influenced by them may be sabotaging their returns.
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Look for the same characteristics in an investment manager that you'd look for in a company: a track record of execution, resilience, adaptability to change
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The danger of investment products built on back testing. Markets continuously evolve and factors that seemed to have worked in the past may not work going forward.
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Predicting is futile. Buy businesses that have proven resilient through the inevitable storms. Investors are now being reminded of the critical importance of business durability.
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